WHO WINS ON SUNDAY?

NFL • MATCHUP ARCHIVE

Washington Commanders
@ Dallas Cowboys

WAS — at DAL —

Sunday, September 20 at 4:25 PM EDT. Archived matchup page with the last market data captured before kickoff.

TEAM PAGES

Follow each team.

TEAM FORM

Current records.

2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.

WAS

—

Record unavailable — source validation failed

DAL

—

Record unavailable — source validation failed

MARKET SNAPSHOT

What the market is saying.

SPREAD

DAL -4.5

MONEYLINE

WAS +180
DAL -215

TOTAL

50.5

MARKET MOVEMENT

Track the number, not just the snapshot.

We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.

SPREAD

DAL -4.5 → -4.5

4 verified snapshots stored.

TOTAL

50.5 → 50.5

First tracked to current displayed total.

HISTORY

4 snapshots

Tracking began Sep 20, 3:00 AM EDT.

MARKET CONTEXT

Turn the price into probability.

WAS IMPLIED

35.7%

Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.

DAL IMPLIED

68.3%

Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.

MARKET UPDATED

1:21 PM EDT

Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.

FAIR MARKET VIEW

Remove the sportsbook margin.

WAS NO-VIG

34.4%

Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.

DAL NO-VIG

65.6%

Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.

BOOK MARGIN

4.0%

The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.

MATCHUP COMPARISON

How the teams compare.

Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.

MetricWASDAL
Points scored25.029.3
Points allowed30.727.3
Pass yards184.7243.3
Rush yards132.094.3
INT thrown0.00.3
Sacks1.70.7

Sample: 3 games for WAS · 3 games for DAL

RECENT FORM

How they got here.

Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.

WAS

Last 3 results

W 33–31 vs. Seattle Seahawks · Sep 27

L 20–37 at Dallas Cowboys · Sep 20

L 22–24 at Philadelphia Eagles · Sep 13

DAL

Last 3 results

L 31–34 vs. Baltimore Ravens · Sep 27

W 37–20 vs. Washington Commanders · Sep 20

L 20–28 at New York Giants · Sep 14

WHAT MATTERS

What the numbers say so far.

EARLY READ

Performance signals

DAL has scored more so far: 29.3 points per game versus 25.0 for WAS.

DAL has allowed fewer points: 27.3 per game versus 30.7 for WAS.

CONTEXT

3-game minimum sample

These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.

MATCHUP CHECKLIST

Where each side has shown an edge.

A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.

SignalObserved edge
ScoringDAL
Points allowedDAL
Net pass yardsDAL
Rush yardsWAS
Fewer INT thrownWAS
SacksWAS

Based on 3 completed games for WAS and 3 for DAL. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.

INJURY REPORT

Who may not be at full strength.

Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.

WAS

5 current reports

Jeremy McNichols — I.L. · I.L. - Quadriceps · Reported Sep 21

Trey Amos — I.L. · I.L. - Ankle · Reported Sep 21

Deatrich Wise Jr. — PUP · Quadriceps - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5 · Reported Sep 21

Laremy Tunsil — I.L. · I.L. - Triceps · Reported Sep 21

Jordan Magee — I.L. · I.L. - Hamstring · Reported Sep 21

DAL

8 current reports

D'Andre Rogers — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21

Kelvin Gilliam — I.L. · I.L. - Triceps · Reported Sep 21

Devin Moore — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21

Matt Hennessy — I.L. · I.L. - Neck · Reported Sep 21

Princeton Fant — I.L. · I.L. - Knee - ACL + MCL · Reported Sep 21

Malik Davis — I.L. · I.L. - Hip · Reported Sep 21

THE THREE SIGNALS

Community • Market • Model

COMMUNITY

Voting is live

Make your pick above to see the current community results.

MARKET

Live feed connected

Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.

WWOS MODEL

Not published yet

No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.

WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS

Review the matchup in context.

This archived page preserves the market snapshot and matchup context we captured around game week. Historical prices are descriptive and should not be read as current betting lines.