NFL • MATCHUP ARCHIVE
New England Patriots
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
NE — at JAX —
Sunday, September 27 at 1:01 PM EDT. Archived matchup page with the last market data captured before kickoff.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
Jacksonville Jaguars
View Jacksonville Jaguars page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
JAX -3
NE +136
JAX -162
9.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
JAX -2.5 → -3
9 verified snapshots stored.
45.5 → 9.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
9 snapshots
Tracking began Sep 21, 10:00 PM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
42.4%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
61.8%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
1:00 PM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
40.7%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
59.3%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.2%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricNEJAX
Points scored12.027.3
Points allowed17.012.0
Pass yards210.3205.3
Rush yards109.3119.3
INT thrown2.00.7
Sacks2.32.3
Sample: 3 games for NE · 3 games for JAX
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
L 6–35 at Jacksonville Jaguars · Sep 27
W 20–3 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers · Sep 20
L 10–13 at Seattle Seahawks · Sep 10
Last 3 results
W 35–6 vs. New England Patriots · Sep 27
L 13–20 at Denver Broncos · Sep 20
W 34–10 vs. Cleveland Browns · Sep 13
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
JAX has scored more so far: 27.3 points per game versus 12.0 for NE.
JAX has allowed fewer points: 12.0 per game versus 17.0 for NE.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringJAX
Points allowedJAX
Net pass yardsNE
Rush yardsJAX
Fewer INT thrownJAX
SacksEven
Based on 3 completed games for NE and 3 for JAX. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
No current reports
No injury reports dated within eight days of kickoff were returned for this team.
No current reports
No injury reports dated within eight days of kickoff were returned for this team.
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Review the matchup in context.
This archived page preserves the market snapshot and matchup context we captured around game week. Historical prices are descriptive and should not be read as current betting lines.