NFL • MATCHUP ARCHIVE
Minnesota Vikings
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
MIN — at TB —
Sunday, September 27 at 4:05 PM EDT. Archived matchup page with the last market data captured before kickoff.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
View Tampa Bay Buccaneers page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
TB +1.5
MIN -116
TB -102
42.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
TB +1.5 → +1.5
7 verified snapshots stored.
43.5 → 42.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
7 snapshots
Tracking began Sep 21, 10:00 PM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
53.7%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
50.5%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
10:00 AM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
51.5%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
48.5%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.2%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricMINTB
Points scored23.720.7
Points allowed13.726.3
Pass yards154.0205.0
Rush yards101.394.3
INT thrown0.71.0
Sacks4.72.0
Sample: 3 games for MIN · 3 games for TB
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
W 23–16 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Sep 27
W 9–3 at Chicago Bears · Sep 20
W 39–22 vs. Green Bay Packers · Sep 13
Last 3 results
L 16–23 vs. Minnesota Vikings · Sep 27
L 19–23 vs. Cleveland Browns · Sep 20
L 27–33 at Cincinnati Bengals · Sep 13
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
MIN has scored more so far: 23.7 points per game versus 20.7 for TB.
MIN has allowed fewer points: 13.7 per game versus 26.3 for TB.
TB has produced more combined rushing and net passing yardage, 299 to 255 per game.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringMIN
Points allowedMIN
Net pass yardsTB
Rush yardsMIN
Fewer INT thrownMIN
SacksMIN
Based on 3 completed games for MIN and 3 for TB. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
10 current reports
Nick Samac — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 26
Ivan Pace Jr. — Questionable · Personal - Questionable for Week 3 at Tampa Bay · Reported Sep 26
Brett Thorson — Sidelined · Hamstring - Out for Week 3 at Tampa Bay. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25
Tyreek Chappell — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21
Bryson Nesbit — Questionable · Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 3 at Tampa Bay · Reported Sep 21
Benjamin Yurosek — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21
4 current reports
Rueben Bain Jr. — Sidelined · Groin - Out for Week 3 vs. Minnesota. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25
Josiah Trotter — Sidelined · Shoulder - Out for Week 3 vs. Minnesota. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25
Josh Hayes — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21
Mohamed Kamara — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Review the matchup in context.
This archived page preserves the market snapshot and matchup context we captured around game week. Historical prices are descriptive and should not be read as current betting lines.