WHO WINS ON SUNDAY?

NFL • MATCHUP ARCHIVE

Miami Dolphins
@ San Francisco 49ers

MIA — at SF —

Sunday, September 20 at 4:25 PM EDT. Archived matchup page with the last market data captured before kickoff.

TEAM PAGES

Follow each team.

TEAM FORM

Current records.

2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.

MIA

—

Record unavailable — source validation failed

SF

—

Record unavailable — source validation failed

MARKET SNAPSHOT

What the market is saying.

SPREAD

SF -13.5

MONEYLINE

MIA +660
SF -1000

TOTAL

45.5

MARKET MOVEMENT

Track the number, not just the snapshot.

We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.

SPREAD

SF -13.5 → -13.5

3 verified snapshots stored.

TOTAL

45.5 → 45.5

First tracked to current displayed total.

HISTORY

3 snapshots

Tracking began Sep 20, 3:00 AM EDT.

MARKET CONTEXT

Turn the price into probability.

MIA IMPLIED

13.2%

Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.

SF IMPLIED

90.9%

Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.

MARKET UPDATED

11:55 AM EDT

Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.

FAIR MARKET VIEW

Remove the sportsbook margin.

MIA NO-VIG

12.6%

Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.

SF NO-VIG

87.4%

Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.

BOOK MARGIN

4.1%

The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.

MATCHUP COMPARISON

How the teams compare.

Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.

MetricMIASF
Points scored12.032.7
Points allowed28.716.7
Pass yards209.0263.0
Rush yards98.3136.3
INT thrown0.70.3
Sacks0.02.0

Sample: 3 games for MIA · 3 games for SF

RECENT FORM

How they got here.

Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.

MIA

Last 3 results

L 10–24 vs. Kansas City Chiefs · Sep 27

L 13–35 at San Francisco 49ers · Sep 20

L 13–27 at Las Vegas Raiders · Sep 13

SF

Last 3 results

W 36–30 vs. Arizona Cardinals · Sep 27

W 35–13 vs. Miami Dolphins · Sep 20

W 27–7 at Los Angeles Rams · Sep 11

WHAT MATTERS

What the numbers say so far.

EARLY READ

Performance signals

SF has scored more so far: 32.7 points per game versus 12.0 for MIA.

SF has allowed fewer points: 16.7 per game versus 28.7 for MIA.

SF has produced more combined rushing and net passing yardage, 399 to 307 per game.

CONTEXT

3-game minimum sample

These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.

MATCHUP CHECKLIST

Where each side has shown an edge.

A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.

SignalObserved edge
ScoringSF
Points allowedSF
Net pass yardsSF
Rush yardsSF
Fewer INT thrownSF
SacksSF

Based on 3 completed games for MIA and 3 for SF. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.

INJURY REPORT

Who may not be at full strength.

Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.

MIA

8 current reports

Ronnie Harrison Jr. — I.L. · I.L. - Hamstring · Reported Sep 21

Rene Konga — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21

Kyle Louis — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21

Kenneth Grant — I.L. · I.L. - Leg · Reported Sep 21

Trey Moore — I.L. · I.L. - Ankle · Reported Sep 21

Cole Turner — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21

SF

16 current reports

Brett Toth — I.L. · I.L. - Concussion · Reported Sep 21

Alfred Collins — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21

Christian Kirk — I.L. · I.L. - Calf · Reported Sep 21

Nickolas Martin — I.L. · I.L. - Hamstring · Reported Sep 21

Mykel Williams — PUP · Knee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5 · Reported Sep 21

Jake Tonges — I.L. · I.L. - Knee - MCL · Reported Sep 21

THE THREE SIGNALS

Community • Market • Model

COMMUNITY

Voting is live

Make your pick above to see the current community results.

MARKET

Live feed connected

Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.

WWOS MODEL

Not published yet

No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.

WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS

Review the matchup in context.

This archived page preserves the market snapshot and matchup context we captured around game week. Historical prices are descriptive and should not be read as current betting lines.