WHO WINS ON SUNDAY?

NFL • LIVE MATCHUP

Miami Dolphins
@ Minnesota Vikings

MIA 0-3 at MIN 3-0

Sunday, October 4 at 4:05 PM EDT. Live schedule and current market context.

TEAM PAGES

Follow each team.

TEAM FORM

Current records.

2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.

MIA

0-3

36 points for · 86 against · L3

MIN

3-0

71 points for · 41 against · W3

COMMUNITY PICK

Who wins?

Make your call. Community results appear after you vote.

MARKET SNAPSHOT

What the market is saying.

SPREAD

MIN -10.5

MONEYLINE

MIA +460
MIN -620

TOTAL

39.5

MARKET MOVEMENT

Track the number, not just the snapshot.

We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.

SPREAD

MIN -10.5 → -10.5

Building verified history.

TOTAL

39.5 → 39.5

First tracked to current displayed total.

HISTORY

Building history

Tracking began Sep 28, 9:00 PM EDT.

MARKET CONTEXT

Turn the price into probability.

MIA IMPLIED

17.9%

Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.

MIN IMPLIED

86.1%

Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.

MARKET UPDATED

10:20 PM EDT

Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.

FAIR MARKET VIEW

Remove the sportsbook margin.

MIA NO-VIG

17.2%

Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.

MIN NO-VIG

82.8%

Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.

BOOK MARGIN

4.0%

The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.

MATCHUP COMPARISON

How the teams compare.

Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.

MetricMIAMIN
Points scored12.023.7
Points allowed28.713.7
Pass yards209.0154.0
Rush yards98.3101.3
INT thrown0.70.7
Sacks0.04.7

Sample: 3 games for MIA · 3 games for MIN

RECENT FORM

How they got here.

Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.

MIA

Last 3 results

L 10–24 vs. Kansas City Chiefs · Sep 27

L 13–35 at San Francisco 49ers · Sep 20

L 13–27 at Las Vegas Raiders · Sep 13

MIN

Last 3 results

W 23–16 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Sep 27

W 9–3 at Chicago Bears · Sep 20

W 39–22 vs. Green Bay Packers · Sep 13

WHAT MATTERS

What the numbers say so far.

EARLY READ

Performance signals

MIN has scored more so far: 23.7 points per game versus 12.0 for MIA.

MIN has allowed fewer points: 13.7 per game versus 28.7 for MIA.

MIA has produced more combined rushing and net passing yardage, 307 to 255 per game.

CONTEXT

3-game minimum sample

These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.

MATCHUP CHECKLIST

Where each side has shown an edge.

A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.

SignalObserved edge
ScoringMIN
Points allowedMIN
Net pass yardsMIA
Rush yardsMIN
Fewer INT thrownEven
SacksMIN

Based on 3 completed games for MIA and 3 for MIN. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.

INJURY REPORT

Who may not be at full strength.

Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.

MIA

5 current reports

Robert Beal Jr. — Hamstring · Inactive for Week 3 vs. Kansas City · Reported Sep 28

Cole Turner — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 28

Storm Duck — PUP · Knee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5 · Reported Sep 28

Ronnie Harrison Jr. — I.L. · I.L. - Hamstring · Reported Sep 28

Darrell Baker Jr. — PUP · Undisclosed - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5 · Reported Sep 28

MIN

7 current reports

Michael Jurgens — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 28

Jordan Mason — I.L. · I.L. - Thumb · Reported Sep 28

Justin Jefferson — Questionable · Ankle - Questionable for Week 4 vs. Miami · Reported Sep 28

Tavierre Thomas — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 at Tampa Bay · Reported Sep 28

Nick Samac — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 28

Josh Oliver — Questionable · Arm - Questionable for Week 4 vs. Miami · Reported Sep 28

THE THREE SIGNALS

Community • Market • Model

COMMUNITY

Voting is live

Make your pick above to see the current community results.

MARKET

Live feed connected

Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.

WWOS MODEL

Not published yet

No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.

WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS

Make your own call.

Market prices are information, not a prediction. Current market prices, team records, recent performance, matchup statistics and injury information are connected and verified. Verified line movement will appear as historical market snapshots accumulate; additional context will be added only when its data sources are connected and verified.