NFL • MATCHUP ARCHIVE
Los Angeles Chargers
@ Buffalo Bills
LAC — at BUF —
Sunday, September 27 at 1:01 PM EDT. Archived matchup page with the last market data captured before kickoff.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
Buffalo Bills
View Buffalo Bills page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
BUF -7
LAC +260
BUF -325
9.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
BUF -7 → -7
10 verified snapshots stored.
50.5 → 9.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
10 snapshots
Tracking began Sep 21, 10:00 PM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
27.8%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
76.5%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
1:00 PM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
26.6%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
73.4%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.2%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricLACBUF
Points scored14.733.7
Points allowed25.326.0
Pass yards209.0262.0
Rush yards113.0155.0
INT thrown1.30.7
Sacks2.33.0
Sample: 3 games for LAC · 3 games for BUF
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
L 16–24 at Buffalo Bills · Sep 27
L 14–26 vs. Las Vegas Raiders · Sep 20
L 14–26 vs. Arizona Cardinals · Sep 13
Last 3 results
W 24–16 vs. Los Angeles Chargers · Sep 27
W 41–31 vs. Detroit Lions · Sep 18
W 36–31 at Houston Texans · Sep 13
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
BUF has scored more so far: 33.7 points per game versus 14.7 for LAC.
LAC has allowed fewer points: 25.3 per game versus 26.0 for BUF.
BUF has produced more combined rushing and net passing yardage, 417 to 322 per game.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringBUF
Points allowedLAC
Net pass yardsBUF
Rush yardsBUF
Fewer INT thrownBUF
SacksBUF
Based on 3 completed games for LAC and 3 for BUF. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
14 current reports
Trey Lance — Questionable · Groin - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 at Buffalo · Reported Sep 26
Kayode Awosika — Sidelined · Lower Leg - Out for Week 3 at Buffalo. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25
Elijah Molden — Sidelined · Hamstring - Out for Week 3 at Buffalo. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25
Brenen Thompson — Sidelined · Quadriceps - Out for Week 3 at Buffalo. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25
Dalvin Tomlinson — Sidelined · Hamstring - Out for Week 3 at Buffalo. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25
David Njoku — I.L. · I.L. - Lower Leg · Reported Sep 23
8 current reports
T.J. Sanders — Sidelined · Appendix - Out for Week 3 vs. L.A. Chargers. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25
Jordan Hancock — I.L. · I.L. - Hamstring · Reported Sep 25
Keon Coleman — Questionable · Ankle - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. L.A. Chargers · Reported Sep 23
DJ Moore — Questionable · Shoulder - AC Joint - Limited Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. L.A. Chargers · Reported Sep 21
Dorian Strong — NFI · Neck - NFI-R for Week 3 vs. L.A. Chargers · Reported Sep 21
Zane Durant — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Review the matchup in context.
This archived page preserves the market snapshot and matchup context we captured around game week. Historical prices are descriptive and should not be read as current betting lines.