NFL • LIVE MATCHUP
Kansas City Chiefs
@ Las Vegas Raiders
KC 3-0 at LV 3-0
Sunday, October 4 at 4:25 PM EDT. Live schedule and current market context.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
Las Vegas Raiders
View Las Vegas Raiders page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
3-0
88 points for · 50 against · W3
3-0
88 points for · 54 against · W3
COMMUNITY PICK
Who wins?
Make your call. Community results appear after you vote.
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
LV +4.5
KC -215
LV +180
47.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
LV +4.5 → +4.5
Building verified history.
47.5 → 47.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
Building history
Tracking began Sep 28, 9:00 PM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
68.3%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
35.7%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
10:20 PM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
65.6%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
34.4%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.0%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricKCLV
Points scored29.329.3
Points allowed16.718.0
Pass yards270.7220.3
Rush yards153.3100.0
INT thrown0.71.0
Sacks1.03.3
Sample: 3 games for KC · 3 games for LV
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
W 24–10 at Miami Dolphins · Sep 27
W 33–30 vs. Indianapolis Colts · Sep 21
W 31–10 vs. Denver Broncos · Sep 15
Last 3 results
W 35–27 at New Orleans Saints · Sep 27
W 26–14 at Los Angeles Chargers · Sep 20
W 27–13 vs. Miami Dolphins · Sep 13
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
Both teams are averaging 29.3 points.
KC has allowed fewer points: 16.7 per game versus 18.0 for LV.
KC has produced more combined rushing and net passing yardage, 424 to 320 per game.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringEven
Points allowedKC
Net pass yardsKC
Rush yardsKC
Fewer INT thrownKC
SacksLV
Based on 3 completed games for KC and 3 for LV. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
4 current reports
Tyreke Smith — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 at Miami · Reported Sep 28
Matt Waletzko — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 28
Chamarri Conner — Knee · Inactive for Week 3 at Miami · Reported Sep 28
Jared Wiley — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 at Miami · Reported Sep 28
No current reports
No injury reports dated within eight days of kickoff were returned for this team.
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Make your own call.
Market prices are information, not a prediction. Current market prices, team records, recent performance, matchup statistics and injury information are connected and verified. Verified line movement will appear as historical market snapshots accumulate; additional context will be added only when its data sources are connected and verified.