NFL • LIVE MATCHUP
Jacksonville Jaguars
@ Cincinnati Bengals
JAX 2-1 at CIN 2-1
Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM EDT. Live schedule and current market context.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
Cincinnati Bengals
View Cincinnati Bengals page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
2-1
82 points for · 36 against · W2 · L1
2-1
80 points for · 63 against · W2 · L1
COMMUNITY PICK
Who wins?
Make your call. Community results appear after you vote.
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
CIN -2.5
JAX +112
CIN -132
51.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
CIN -2.5 → -2.5
2 verified snapshots stored.
51.5 → 51.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
2 snapshots
Tracking began Sep 28, 9:00 PM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
47.2%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
56.9%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
10:20 PM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
45.3%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
54.7%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.1%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricJAXCIN
Points scored27.326.7
Points allowed12.021.0
Pass yards205.3247.7
Rush yards119.391.3
INT thrown0.70.3
Sacks2.33.3
Sample: 3 games for JAX · 3 games for CIN
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
W 35–6 vs. New England Patriots · Sep 27
L 13–20 at Denver Broncos · Sep 20
W 34–10 vs. Cleveland Browns · Sep 13
Last 3 results
L 27–30 at Pittsburgh Steelers · Sep 27
W 20–6 at Houston Texans · Sep 20
W 33–27 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Sep 13
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
JAX has scored more so far: 27.3 points per game versus 26.7 for CIN.
JAX has allowed fewer points: 12.0 per game versus 21.0 for CIN.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringJAX
Points allowedJAX
Net pass yardsCIN
Rush yardsJAX
Fewer INT thrownCIN
SacksCIN
Based on 3 completed games for JAX and 3 for CIN. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
5 current reports
Daniel Faalele — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 vs. New England · Reported Sep 28
Jared Bartlett — I.L. · I.L. - Leg · Reported Sep 28
Jack Kiser — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 vs. New England · Reported Sep 28
Sam Mustipher — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 28
Patrick Mekari — I.L. · I.L. - Back · Reported Sep 28
4 current reports
Andrei Iosivas — I.L. · I.L. - Thumb · Reported Sep 28
Jalen Davis — Questionable · Hamstring - Questionable for Week 4 vs. Jacksonville · Reported Sep 28
Josh Newton — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 at Pittsburgh · Reported Sep 28
BJ Hill — Achilles · Inactive for Week 3 at Pittsburgh · Reported Sep 28
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Make your own call.
Market prices are information, not a prediction. Current market prices, team records, recent performance, matchup statistics and injury information are connected and verified. Verified line movement will appear as historical market snapshots accumulate; additional context will be added only when its data sources are connected and verified.