NFL • LIVE MATCHUP
Indianapolis Colts
@ Washington Commanders
IND 1-2 at WAS 1-2
Sunday, October 4 at 9:30 AM EDT. Live schedule and current market context.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
Washington Commanders
View Washington Commanders page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
1-2
72 points for · 91 against · W1 · L2
1-2
75 points for · 92 against · W1 · L2
COMMUNITY PICK
Who wins?
Make your call. Community results appear after you vote.
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
WAS +3.5
IND -184
WAS +154
47.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
WAS +3.5 → +3.5
Building verified history.
47.5 → 47.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
Building history
Tracking began Sep 28, 9:00 PM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
64.8%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
39.4%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
9:59 PM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
62.2%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
37.8%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.2%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricINDWAS
Points scored24.025.0
Points allowed30.330.7
Pass yards203.7184.7
Rush yards103.3132.0
INT thrown1.00.0
Sacks2.31.7
Sample: 3 games for IND · 3 games for WAS
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
W 19–17 vs. Houston Texans · Sep 27
L 30–33 at Kansas City Chiefs · Sep 21
L 23–41 vs. Baltimore Ravens · Sep 13
Last 3 results
W 33–31 vs. Seattle Seahawks · Sep 27
L 20–37 at Dallas Cowboys · Sep 20
L 22–24 at Philadelphia Eagles · Sep 13
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
WAS has scored more so far: 25.0 points per game versus 24.0 for IND.
IND has allowed fewer points: 30.3 per game versus 30.7 for WAS.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringWAS
Points allowedIND
Net pass yardsIND
Rush yardsWAS
Fewer INT thrownWAS
SacksIND
Based on 3 completed games for IND and 3 for WAS. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
9 current reports
Alec Pierce — I.L. · I.L. - Heel · Reported Sep 28
Dalton Tucker — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 vs. Houston · Reported Sep 28
Will Mallory — I.L. · I.L. - Thumb · Reported Sep 28
Cameron Mitchell — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 28
D.J. Montgomery — I.L. · I.L. - Abdomen · Reported Sep 28
Ashton Dulin — Ankle · Inactive for Week 3 vs. Houston · Reported Sep 28
9 current reports
Javontae JeanBaptiste — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 vs. Seattle · Reported Sep 28
Frankie Luvu — Groin · Inactive for Week 3 vs. Seattle · Reported Sep 28
Jayden Daniels — Elbow · Inactive for Week 3 vs. Seattle · Reported Sep 28
Jordan Magee — I.L. · I.L. - Hamstring · Reported Sep 28
Leo Chenal — Questionable · Neck - Questionable for Week 4 vs. Indianapolis · Reported Sep 28
Nick Cross — Illness · Inactive for Week 3 vs. Seattle · Reported Sep 28
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Make your own call.
Market prices are information, not a prediction. Current market prices, team records, recent performance, matchup statistics and injury information are connected and verified. Verified line movement will appear as historical market snapshots accumulate; additional context will be added only when its data sources are connected and verified.