NFL • MATCHUP ARCHIVE
Indianapolis Colts
@ Kansas City Chiefs
IND — at KC —
Sunday, September 20 at 8:20 PM EDT. Archived matchup page with the last market data captured before kickoff.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
Kansas City Chiefs
View Kansas City Chiefs page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
KC -6.5
IND +235
KC -290
45.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
KC -6.5 → -6.5
3 verified snapshots stored.
46.5 → 45.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
3 snapshots
Tracking began Sep 20, 3:00 AM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
29.9%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
74.4%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
1:21 PM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
28.6%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
71.4%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.2%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricINDKC
Points scored24.029.3
Points allowed30.316.7
Pass yards203.7270.7
Rush yards103.3153.3
INT thrown1.00.7
Sacks2.31.0
Sample: 3 games for IND · 3 games for KC
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
W 19–17 vs. Houston Texans · Sep 27
L 30–33 at Kansas City Chiefs · Sep 21
L 23–41 vs. Baltimore Ravens · Sep 13
Last 3 results
W 24–10 at Miami Dolphins · Sep 27
W 33–30 vs. Indianapolis Colts · Sep 21
W 31–10 vs. Denver Broncos · Sep 15
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
KC has scored more so far: 29.3 points per game versus 24.0 for IND.
KC has allowed fewer points: 16.7 per game versus 30.3 for IND.
KC has produced more combined rushing and net passing yardage, 424 to 307 per game.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringKC
Points allowedKC
Net pass yardsKC
Rush yardsKC
Fewer INT thrownKC
SacksIND
Based on 3 completed games for IND and 3 for KC. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
6 current reports
Micheal Clemons — I.L. · I.L. - Toe · Reported Sep 22
Charvarius Ward — Questionable · Groin - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. Houston · Reported Sep 21
Will Mallory — I.L. · I.L. - Thumb · Reported Sep 21
Cameron Mitchell — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21
Carson Towt — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21
D.J. Montgomery — I.L. · I.L. - Abdomen · Reported Sep 21
7 current reports
John Michael Gyllenborg — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21
Jimmy Holiday — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21
Jeff Caldwell — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21
Ethan Downs — I.L. · I.L. - Knee - ACL · Reported Sep 21
Matt Waletzko — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21
Omarr NormanLott — PUP · Knee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 6 · Reported Sep 21
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Review the matchup in context.
This archived page preserves the market snapshot and matchup context we captured around game week. Historical prices are descriptive and should not be read as current betting lines.