WHO WINS ON SUNDAY?

NFL • MATCHUP ARCHIVE

Houston Texans
@ Indianapolis Colts

HOU — at IND —

Sunday, September 27 at 1:01 PM EDT. Archived matchup page with the last market data captured before kickoff.

TEAM PAGES

Follow each team.

TEAM FORM

Current records.

2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.

HOU

—

Record unavailable — source validation failed

IND

—

Record unavailable — source validation failed

MARKET SNAPSHOT

What the market is saying.

SPREAD

IND +1.5

MONEYLINE

HOU -122
IND +102

TOTAL

41.5

MARKET MOVEMENT

Track the number, not just the snapshot.

We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.

SPREAD

IND +2.5 → +1.5

12 verified snapshots stored.

TOTAL

44.5 → 41.5

First tracked to current displayed total.

HISTORY

12 snapshots

Tracking began Sep 21, 10:00 PM EDT.

MARKET CONTEXT

Turn the price into probability.

HOU IMPLIED

55.0%

Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.

IND IMPLIED

49.5%

Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.

MARKET UPDATED

1:00 PM EDT

Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.

FAIR MARKET VIEW

Remove the sportsbook margin.

HOU NO-VIG

52.6%

Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.

IND NO-VIG

47.4%

Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.

BOOK MARGIN

4.5%

The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.

MATCHUP COMPARISON

How the teams compare.

Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.

MetricHOUIND
Points scored18.024.0
Points allowed25.030.3
Pass yards264.7203.7
Rush yards84.7103.3
INT thrown0.01.0
Sacks3.72.3

Sample: 3 games for HOU · 3 games for IND

RECENT FORM

How they got here.

Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.

HOU

Last 3 results

L 17–19 at Indianapolis Colts · Sep 27

L 6–20 vs. Cincinnati Bengals · Sep 20

L 31–36 vs. Buffalo Bills · Sep 13

IND

Last 3 results

W 19–17 vs. Houston Texans · Sep 27

L 30–33 at Kansas City Chiefs · Sep 21

L 23–41 vs. Baltimore Ravens · Sep 13

WHAT MATTERS

What the numbers say so far.

EARLY READ

Performance signals

IND has scored more so far: 24.0 points per game versus 18.0 for HOU.

HOU has allowed fewer points: 25.0 per game versus 30.3 for IND.

HOU has produced more combined rushing and net passing yardage, 349 to 307 per game.

CONTEXT

3-game minimum sample

These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.

MATCHUP CHECKLIST

Where each side has shown an edge.

A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.

SignalObserved edge
ScoringIND
Points allowedHOU
Net pass yardsHOU
Rush yardsIND
Fewer INT thrownHOU
SacksHOU

Based on 3 completed games for HOU and 3 for IND. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.

INJURY REPORT

Who may not be at full strength.

Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.

HOU

17 current reports

M.J. Stewart — PUP · Knee - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5 · Reported Sep 26

Jake Hummel — I.L. · I.L. - Groin · Reported Sep 26

Nico Collins — Sidelined · Hamstring - Out for Week 3 at Indianapolis. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25

Ed Ingram — Sidelined · Groin - Out for Week 3 at Indianapolis. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25

Jadeveon Clowney — Sidelined · Knee - Out for Week 3 at Indianapolis. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25

Trent Brown — Questionable · Knee - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 at Indianapolis · Reported Sep 23

IND

8 current reports

Alec Pierce — I.L. · I.L. - Heel · Reported Sep 26

Ashton Dulin — Sidelined · Ankle - Out for Week 3 vs. Houston. Expected Return - Week 4 · Reported Sep 25

Micheal Clemons — I.L. · I.L. - Toe · Reported Sep 22

Charvarius Ward — Questionable · Groin - Full Practice on Friday. Questionable for Week 3 vs. Houston · Reported Sep 21

Will Mallory — I.L. · I.L. - Thumb · Reported Sep 21

Cameron Mitchell — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21

THE THREE SIGNALS

Community • Market • Model

COMMUNITY

Voting is live

Make your pick above to see the current community results.

MARKET

Live feed connected

Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.

WWOS MODEL

Not published yet

No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.

WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS

Review the matchup in context.

This archived page preserves the market snapshot and matchup context we captured around game week. Historical prices are descriptive and should not be read as current betting lines.