NFL • LIVE MATCHUP
Green Bay Packers
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
GB 1-2 at TB 0-3
Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM EDT. Live schedule and current market context.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
View Tampa Bay Buccaneers page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
1-2
56 points for · 91 against · W1 · L2
0-3
62 points for · 79 against · L3
COMMUNITY PICK
Who wins?
Make your call. Community results appear after you vote.
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
TB +3.5
GB -180
TB +152
39.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
TB +3.5 → +3.5
Building verified history.
39.5 → 39.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
Building history
Tracking began Sep 28, 9:00 PM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
64.3%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
39.7%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
10:20 PM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
61.8%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
38.2%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.0%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricGBTB
Points scored18.720.7
Points allowed30.326.3
Pass yards281.3205.0
Rush yards48.794.3
INT thrown0.71.0
Sacks2.32.0
Sample: 3 games for GB · 3 games for TB
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
L 14–35 vs. Atlanta Falcons · Sep 25
W 20–17 at New York Jets · Sep 20
L 22–39 at Minnesota Vikings · Sep 13
Last 3 results
L 16–23 vs. Minnesota Vikings · Sep 27
L 19–23 vs. Cleveland Browns · Sep 20
L 27–33 at Cincinnati Bengals · Sep 13
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
TB has scored more so far: 20.7 points per game versus 18.7 for GB.
TB has allowed fewer points: 26.3 per game versus 30.3 for GB.
GB has produced more combined rushing and net passing yardage, 330 to 299 per game.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringTB
Points allowedTB
Net pass yardsGB
Rush yardsTB
Fewer INT thrownGB
SacksGB
Based on 3 completed games for GB and 3 for TB. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
10 current reports
McCallan Castles — Questionable · Undisclosed - Questionable for Week 4 at Tampa Bay · Reported Sep 28
Thomas Yassmin — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 28
Micah Parsons — PUP · Knee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5 · Reported Sep 28
Jayden Reed — Neck · Inactive for Week 3 vs. Atlanta · Reported Sep 28
Luke Musgrave — PUP · Neck - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5 · Reported Sep 28
Marlon Jones Jr. — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 28
4 current reports
Josh Hayes — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 28
Mohamed Kamara — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 28
Rakeem Nunez-Roches — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 vs. Minnesota · Reported Sep 28
Baker Mayfield — Questionable · Thumb - Questionable for Week 4 vs. Green Bay · Reported Sep 28
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Make your own call.
Market prices are information, not a prediction. Current market prices, team records, recent performance, matchup statistics and injury information are connected and verified. Verified line movement will appear as historical market snapshots accumulate; additional context will be added only when its data sources are connected and verified.