NFL • LIVE MATCHUP
Denver Broncos
@ San Francisco 49ers
DEN 2-1 at SF 3-0
Sunday, October 4 at 4:25 PM EDT. Live schedule and current market context.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
San Francisco 49ers
View San Francisco 49ers page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
2-1
60 points for · 70 against · W2 · L1
3-0
98 points for · 50 against · W3
COMMUNITY PICK
Who wins?
Make your call. Community results appear after you vote.
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
SF -2.5
DEN +120
SF -142
46.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
SF -2.5 → -2.5
Building verified history.
46.5 → 46.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
Building history
Tracking began Sep 28, 9:00 PM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
45.5%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
58.7%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
10:20 PM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
43.7%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
56.3%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.1%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricDENSF
Points scored20.032.7
Points allowed23.316.7
Pass yards201.7263.0
Rush yards81.0136.3
INT thrown1.00.3
Sacks2.72.0
Sample: 3 games for DEN · 3 games for SF
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
W 30–26 vs. Los Angeles Rams · Sep 28
W 20–13 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars · Sep 20
L 10–31 at Kansas City Chiefs · Sep 15
Last 3 results
W 36–30 vs. Arizona Cardinals · Sep 27
W 35–13 vs. Miami Dolphins · Sep 20
W 27–7 at Los Angeles Rams · Sep 11
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
SF has scored more so far: 32.7 points per game versus 20.0 for DEN.
SF has allowed fewer points: 16.7 per game versus 23.3 for DEN.
SF has produced more combined rushing and net passing yardage, 399 to 283 per game.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringSF
Points allowedSF
Net pass yardsSF
Rush yardsSF
Fewer INT thrownSF
SacksDEN
Based on 3 completed games for DEN and 3 for SF. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
6 current reports
Frank Crum — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 28
Nick Gargiulo — PUP · Knee - ACL - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5 · Reported Sep 28
Levelle Bailey — I.L. · I.L. - Leg · Reported Sep 28
Michael Deiter — I.L. · I.L. - Quadriceps · Reported Sep 28
Matt Henningsen — I.L. · I.L. - Achilles · Reported Sep 28
Sam Ehlinger — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 vs. L.A. Rams · Reported Sep 28
17 current reports
Isaac Guerendo — PUP · Pectoral - Physically Unable to Perform. Expected Return - Week 5 · Reported Sep 28
Jake Tonges — I.L. · I.L. - Knee - MCL · Reported Sep 28
Sam Okuayinonu — I.L. · I.L. - Foot · Reported Sep 28
Kurtis Rourke — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 vs. Arizona · Reported Sep 28
Tatum Bethune — Sidelined · Coach's Decision - Inactive for Week 3 vs. Arizona · Reported Sep 28
Ricky Pearsall — I.L. · I.L. - Knee - PCL · Reported Sep 28
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Make your own call.
Market prices are information, not a prediction. Current market prices, team records, recent performance, matchup statistics and injury information are connected and verified. Verified line movement will appear as historical market snapshots accumulate; additional context will be added only when its data sources are connected and verified.