NFL • MATCHUP ARCHIVE
Cleveland Browns
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
CLE — at TB —
Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 PM EDT. Archived matchup page with the last market data captured before kickoff.
TEAM PAGES
Follow each team.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
View Tampa Bay Buccaneers page →TEAM FORM
Current records.
2026 regular-season records calculated from completed games.
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
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Record unavailable — source validation failed
MARKET SNAPSHOT
What the market is saying.
TB -8.5
CLE +330
TB -420
41.5
MARKET MOVEMENT
Track the number, not just the snapshot.
We store timestamped market snapshots and show only movement we actually captured. “First tracked” is our earliest stored price, not necessarily the sportsbook opening line.
TB -8.5 → -8.5
3 verified snapshots stored.
41.5 → 41.5
First tracked to current displayed total.
3 snapshots
Tracking began Sep 20, 3:00 AM EDT.
MARKET CONTEXT
Turn the price into probability.
23.3%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
80.8%
Raw implied probability from the displayed moneyline, before removing sportsbook margin.
11:55 AM EDT
Odds move. This timestamp shows when the displayed market data was last updated.
FAIR MARKET VIEW
Remove the sportsbook margin.
22.4%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
77.6%
Normalized two-way moneyline probability after removing the displayed book margin.
4.0%
The amount by which the two raw implied probabilities exceed 100% for this displayed market.
MATCHUP COMPARISON
How the teams compare.
Per-game performance from completed 2026 regular-season games. Early-season samples are small and will become more useful as games accumulate.
MetricCLETB
Points scored18.020.7
Points allowed23.726.3
Pass yards195.7205.0
Rush yards87.794.3
INT thrown0.31.0
Sacks2.32.0
Sample: 3 games for CLE · 3 games for TB
RECENT FORM
How they got here.
Completed 2026 regular-season results, newest first. This is descriptive context, not a prediction.
Last 3 results
W 21–18 vs. Carolina Panthers · Sep 27
W 23–19 at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Sep 20
L 10–34 at Jacksonville Jaguars · Sep 13
Last 3 results
L 16–23 vs. Minnesota Vikings · Sep 27
L 19–23 vs. Cleveland Browns · Sep 20
L 27–33 at Cincinnati Bengals · Sep 13
WHAT MATTERS
What the numbers say so far.
Performance signals
TB has scored more so far: 20.7 points per game versus 18.0 for CLE.
CLE has allowed fewer points: 23.7 per game versus 26.3 for TB.
3-game minimum sample
These are per-game results from completed regular-season games. They describe recent performance and do not by themselves predict the next game.
MATCHUP CHECKLIST
Where each side has shown an edge.
A quick comparison of verified results so far. This is a summary of the data above, not a pick or model prediction.
SignalObserved edge
ScoringTB
Points allowedCLE
Net pass yardsTB
Rush yardsTB
Fewer INT thrownCLE
SacksCLE
Based on 3 completed games for CLE and 3 for TB. Small samples can swing sharply from week to week.
INJURY REPORT
Who may not be at full strength.
Current game-week injury information. Reports are limited to the eight days before kickoff; status can change through game day.
10 current reports
Joe Royer — NFI · Personal - NFI-R for Week 3 vs. Carolina · Reported Sep 21
Dylan Sampson — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21
Kalia Davis — I.L. · I.L. - Quadriceps · Reported Sep 21
Damarri Mathis — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21
Kendrick Green — I.L. · I.L. - Undisclosed · Reported Sep 21
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah — PUP · Neck - Physically Unable to Perform · Reported Sep 21
2 current reports
Josh Hayes — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21
Mohamed Kamara — I.L. · I.L. - Knee · Reported Sep 21
THE THREE SIGNALS
Community • Market • Model
Voting is live
Make your pick above to see the current community results.
Live feed connected
Current market data is shown above. Odds can change; timestamps and additional books are next.
Not published yet
No fake percentage. A model number appears only after the methodology and data pipeline are implemented.
WHY THIS PAGE EXISTS
Review the matchup in context.
This archived page preserves the market snapshot and matchup context we captured around game week. Historical prices are descriptive and should not be read as current betting lines.